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Boston/Norton MA Field Office

FXUS61 KBOX 172353

Forecasters: BW, RM, Loconto, Mensch

Wind headlines have expired. River Flood Warnings for Sudbury River at Saxonville and Wood River at Hope Valley have been cancelled. River Flood Warnings for Pawtuxet River at Cranston and Taunton River at Bridgewater remain in effect.
1 Key Message 1
Gusty post-frontal westerly winds gradually diminish overnight. This will be followed by a period of abnormally cold and dry weather.
2 Key Message 2
Temperatures gradually moderate Thursday with near-normal temperatures continuing through the weekend. Trending unsettled late week through early next week.
KEY MESSAGE 1... - Gusty post-frontal westerly winds gradually diminish overnight. This will be followed by a period of abnormally cold and dry weather.

Winds continue to gust between 20-30 knots this afternoon before gradually diminishing overnight. Post-frontal environment and moderate pressure gradient will continue to support gusty winds overnight, but we should see gusts drop below 20 mph around or shortly after midnight. Low-level temperatures continue to fall in response to cold air advection with 925 hPa temps dropping to near - 10°C (50°F). This will result in widespread low temperatures in the upper teens/low 20s tomorrow morning.

Winds become more calm Wednesday afternoon as high pressure builds over southern New England. However, temperatures will remain much cooler than normal withs highs peaking in the low to mid 30s. The column will be very dry, so expect plenty of sunshine. Cold/dry conditions carry through the end of the week.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Temperatures gradually moderate Thursday with near- normal temperatures continuing through the weekend. Trending unsettled late week through early next week.

High pressure remains in control through the end of the week with winds becoming southerly and beginning to advect warmer air into the region. 850 mb temps increase from -12°C (10°F) on Wednesday to -1°C (30°F) on Friday. Still have a cold pool aloft which will keep diurnal clouds around on Thursday mixing with the sun, and more moisture moves in in the low/mid levels on Friday bringing partly cloudy skies. Even so, highs should reach the mid 40s on Thursday and the upper 40s/low 50s on Friday into the weekend.

Precipitation-wise nothing high impact like we saw the next 24 hours is expected. That being said, the pattern does become more unsettled over the weekend. After a weak passing wave moves overhead Thursday night bringing a slight chance for some low elevation rain/high elevation snow showers a series of stronger waves crosses the region first around Saturday then again late Sunday into Monday. Moisture is better with the second round (PWATs near 1") but jet dynamics are less certain owing to significant differences amongst the global guidance. Regardless, flooding rains are not expected at this time.
CT: None

MA: None

RI: None

MARINE: Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ231>234-251. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ235-237. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ250-254>256.

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